V-Lab
Anhui Tatfook Technology Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
47.53%
increased by 0.64%
1 Week
48.29%
increased by 1.40%
1 Month
50.60%
increased by 3.71%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 2010 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4908 | 12.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0881 | 12.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8840 | 137.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0202 | -1.70* |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
Other Anhui Tatfook Technology Co Ltd Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities