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Anhui Tatfook Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

35.00%

decreased by 1.45%

1 Week

36.50%

increased by 0.05%

1 Month

41.20%

increased by 4.75%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Anhui Tatfook Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 2010 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.59 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-lifev = 4.59 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst14.0392
1.08
αARCH0.0778
4.69***
βGARCH0.9764
45.76***
νDF4.5913
1.43

0.976

Persistence

29d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

14.0392
1.08
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0778
4.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9764
45.76***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.5913
1.43

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days