V-Lab
Anhui Tatfook Technology Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
47.18%
increased by 0.44%
1 Week
47.99%
increased by 1.25%
1 Month
50.43%
increased by 3.69%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 2010 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4999 | 11.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0801 | 21.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8813 | 137.02*** |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
18 days
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