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V-Lab

Ops eCom SpA GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

177.10%

decreased by 30.31%

1 Week

178.05%

decreased by 29.36%

1 Month

181.81%

decreased by 25.60%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 04:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ops eCom SpA GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 7, 2015 to Jul 28, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6718
2.77***
αARCH0.2862
4.76***
βGARCH0.7138
11.81***

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6718
2.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2862
4.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7138
11.81***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-