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Ops eCom SpA GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

215.64%

decreased by 63.89%

1 Week

212.57%

decreased by 66.96%

1 Month

201.30%

decreased by 78.23%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 04:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ops eCom SpA GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 7, 2015 to Jul 28, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.76 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 37-day half-lifev = 2.76 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst40.7098
0.66
αARCH0.2081
13.69***
βGARCH0.9815
36.34***
νDF2.7635
12.23***

0.982

Persistence

37d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

40.7098
0.66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2081
13.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9815
36.34***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.7635
12.23***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

37 days