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V-Lab

Anhui Tatfook Technology Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

45.33%

increased by 0.47%

1 Week

45.90%

increased by 1.04%

1 Month

47.58%

increased by 2.72%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Anhui Tatfook Technology Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 2010 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8100
6.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0799
4.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8766
28.82***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0205
-1.92*
γ20.0261
1.92*

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days