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V-Lab

Anhui Tatfook Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

39.56%

decreased by 0.71%

1 Week

41.32%

increased by 1.05%

1 Month

46.31%

increased by 6.04%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Anhui Tatfook Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 2010 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow51
αARCH0.0923
3.43***
βGARCH0.8771
34.56***
γleverage-0.0201
-0.85
λ₁tau intercept9.8835
0.07
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.2638
0.02

0.959

Persistence

17d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0923
3.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8771
34.56***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0201
-0.85
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.8835
0.07
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2638
0.02

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

17 days