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V-Lab

RGF Capital Markets Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

65.57%

increased by 1.63%

1 Week

67.88%

increased by 3.94%

1 Month

74.30%

increased by 10.36%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of RGF Capital Markets Ltd MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 2018 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4409
1.36
αARCH0.2753
3.32***
βGARCH0.6778
10.68***

0.953

Persistence

14d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4409
1.36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2753
3.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6778
10.68***

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days