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V-Lab

RGF Capital Markets Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

47.95%

decreased by 1.97%

1 Week

52.74%

increased by 2.82%

1 Month

65.01%

increased by 15.09%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of RGF Capital Markets Ltd MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 2018 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4158
5.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2780
13.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6766
42.53***

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days