V-Lab
RGF Capital Markets Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
47.95%
decreased by 1.97%
1 Week
52.74%
increased by 2.82%
1 Month
65.01%
increased by 15.09%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 2018 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4158 | 5.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2780 | 13.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6766 | 42.53*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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