V-Lab
RGF Capital Markets Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
48.33%
increased by 0.10%
1 Week
49.37%
increased by 1.14%
1 Month
52.89%
increased by 4.66%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 17, 2018 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 85% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1057 | 3.71*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2075 | 9.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9624 | 82.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0621 | -5.28*** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
Other RGF Capital Markets Ltd Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on International Equities