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RGF Capital Markets Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

63.35%

increased by 1.05%

1 Week

65.09%

increased by 2.79%

1 Month

69.95%

increased by 7.65%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of RGF Capital Markets Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 2018 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0000
1.14
αARCH0.2633
5.61***
βGARCH0.6992
11.13***
γleverage-0.0625
-0.95
δpower1.8552
3.50***

0.950

Persistence

14d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
1.14
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2633
5.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6992
11.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0625
-0.95
δ

power

Transformation power

1.8552
3.50***

Persistence:

0.950

Half-life:

14 days