V-Lab
RGF Capital Markets Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
63.35%
increased by 1.05%
1 Week
65.09%
increased by 2.79%
1 Month
69.95%
increased by 7.65%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 2018 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.
μ
APMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0000 | 1.14 |
| αARCH | 0.2633 | 5.61*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6992 | 11.13*** |
| γleverage | -0.0625 | -0.95 |
| δpower | 1.8552 | 3.50*** |
0.950
Persistence14d
Half-lifeμ
APMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 1.14 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2633 | 5.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6992 | 11.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0625 | -0.95 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.8552 | 3.50*** |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
14 days
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