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V-Lab

Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

65.18%

decreased by 1.21%

1 Week

67.18%

increased by 0.79%

1 Month

72.86%

increased by 6.47%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2003 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. The volatility power δ = 1.82 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-lifeδ = 1.82 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0000
1.09
αARCH0.1793
4.67***
βGARCH0.7840
15.55***
γleverage0.0589
0.74
δpower1.8165
3.94***

0.953

Persistence

14d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
1.09
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1793
4.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7840
15.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0589
0.74
δ

power

Transformation power

1.8165
3.94***

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days