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V-Lab

Abionyx Pharma SA APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

72.28%

decreased by 0.25%

1 Week

73.65%

increased by 1.12%

1 Month

78.04%

increased by 5.51%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Abionyx Pharma SA APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 15, 2016 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0000
0.23
αARCH0.0268
0.43
βGARCH0.9452
21.60***
γleverage-0.0094
-0.01
δpower2.0075
1.30

0.972

Persistence

24d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
0.23
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0268
0.43
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9452
21.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0094
-0.01
δ

power

Transformation power

2.0075
1.30

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days