V-Lab
Abionyx Pharma SA APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
72.28%
decreased by 0.25%
1 Week
73.65%
increased by 1.12%
1 Month
78.04%
increased by 5.51%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 2016 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
σ
APARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0000 | 0.23 |
| αARCH | 0.0268 | 0.43 |
| βGARCH | 0.9452 | 21.60*** |
| γleverage | -0.0094 | -0.01 |
| δpower | 2.0075 | 1.30 |
0.972
Persistence24d
Half-lifeσ
APARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 0.23 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0268 | 0.43 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9452 | 21.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0094 | -0.01 |
δ power Transformation power | 2.0075 | 1.30 |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
24 days
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