Abionyx Pharma SA GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
209.82%
decreased by 45.73%
1 Week
225.90%
decreased by 29.65%
1 Month
257.04%
increased by 1.49%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.06 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 324.2642 | 2.12** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1736 | 14.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8970 | 18.29*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0574 | 119.86*** |
Persistence:
0.897
Half-life:
6 days
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