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Abionyx Pharma SA GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

131.72%

increased by 3.29%

1 Week

140.57%

increased by 12.14%

1 Month

157.16%

increased by 28.73%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 08:37 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Abionyx Pharma SA GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 15, 2016 to Oct 19, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.17 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-lifev = 2.17 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run117.6913
0.59
αscore0.1717
3.26***
βpersistence0.8884
4.59***
νDF2.1688
9.99***

0.888

Persistence

6d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

117.6913
0.59
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1717
3.26***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8884
4.59***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.1688
9.99***

Persistence:

0.888

Half-life:

6 days