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Estun Automation Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

40.98%

increased by 4.08%

1 Week

42.11%

increased by 5.21%

1 Month

45.38%

increased by 8.48%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 08:54 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Estun Automation Co Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 9, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4780
1.09
αARCH0.2808
2.42**
βGARCH0.8170
11.26***
γleverage-0.2808
-1.73*

0.957

Persistence

16d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4780
1.09
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2808
2.42**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8170
11.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2808
-1.73*

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days