V-Lab
Estun Automation Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
90.95%
decreased by 3.92%
1 Week
96.95%
increased by 2.08%
1 Month
110.34%
increased by 15.47%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 7.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5094 | 5.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6667 | 25.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5094 | -5.29*** |
Persistence:
0.921
Half-life:
8 days
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