V-Lab
Sam Holdings Corporation GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
18.05%
decreased by 1.62%
1 Week
19.41%
decreased by 0.26%
1 Month
23.97%
increased by 4.30%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 21, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 126 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.30 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 19.8683 | 4.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1382 | 84.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9945 | 906.56*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.2979 | 44.22*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
126 days
Other Sam Holdings Corporation Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities