V-Lab
Sam Holdings Corporation Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
29.23%
decreased by 1.64%
1 Week
29.62%
decreased by 1.25%
1 Month
31.02%
increased by 0.15%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 18, 2008 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 93 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0699 | 13.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1435 | 22.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8476 | 201.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0031 | 0.29 |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
93 days
Other Sam Holdings Corporation Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on International Equities