V-Lab
Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
111.21%
increased by 2.85%
1 Week
109.50%
increased by 1.14%
1 Month
104.40%
decreased by 3.96%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7564 | 1.63 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1886 | 3.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8538 | 40.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1886 | -3.99*** |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
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