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Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

61.68%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Week

78.29%

increased by 16.09%

1 Month

93.44%

increased by 31.24%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 03:09 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst9.1464
3.62***
αARCH0.3720
5.49***
βGARCH0.3873
7.18***
γleverage-0.9667
-1.32

0.759

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

9.1464
3.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3720
5.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3873
7.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.9667
-1.32

Persistence:

0.759

Half-life:

3 days