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V-Lab

Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

97.25%

decreased by 36.32%

1 Week

102.79%

decreased by 30.78%

1 Month

107.03%

decreased by 26.54%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -1.00) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.0000
13.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3774
17.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2940
19.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-1.0014
-4.62***

Persistence:

0.671

Half-life:

2 days