Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
58.44%
increased by 1.29%
1 Week
62.84%
increased by 5.69%
1 Month
72.84%
increased by 15.69%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 03:09 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 26, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3774 | 1.76* |
| αARCH | 0.3264 | 2.82*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8855 | 14.61*** |
| γleverage | 0.0893 | 0.78 |
0.885
Persistence6d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3774 | 1.76* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3264 | 2.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8855 | 14.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0893 | 0.78 |
Persistence:
0.885
Half-life:
6 days
Other Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on International Equities