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Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

58.44%

increased by 1.29%

1 Week

62.84%

increased by 5.69%

1 Month

72.84%

increased by 15.69%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 03:09 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3774
1.76*
αARCH0.3264
2.82***
βGARCH0.8855
14.61***
γleverage0.0893
0.78

0.885

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3774
1.76*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3264
2.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8855
14.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0893
0.78

Persistence:

0.885

Half-life:

6 days