Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026
1 Day
79.24%
decreased by 2.44%
1 Week
84.26%
increased by 2.58%
1 Month
96.27%
increased by 14.59%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 08:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2026 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.3921 | 0.33 |
| αARCH | 0.1872 | 0.84 |
| βGARCH | 0.7465 | 7.43*** |
0.934
Persistence10d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.3921 | 0.33 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1872 | 0.84 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7465 | 7.43*** |
Persistence:
0.934
Half-life:
10 days
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