V-Lab
Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
114.33%
decreased by 2.74%
1 Week
115.58%
decreased by 1.49%
1 Month
118.92%
increased by 1.85%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.7608 | 1.20 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2062 | 2.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7330 | 23.48*** |
Persistence:
0.939
Half-life:
11 days
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