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V-Lab

Cargills Ceylon PLC MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

22.73%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

23.14%

increased by 0.00%

1 Month

24.57%

increased by 1.43%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cargills Ceylon PLC MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 26, 2003 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 51 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 51 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0653
5.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0574
15.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9290
291.14***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

51 days