V-Lab
Woolworths Holdings Ltd/South Africa GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
29.72%
decreased by 0.25%
1 Week
29.88%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Month
30.40%
increased by 0.43%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 3, 1997 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 30-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0973 | 4.51*** |
| αARCH | 0.0358 | 3.20*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9236 | 94.56*** |
| γleverage | 0.0361 | 1.67* |
0.978
Persistence30d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0973 | 4.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0358 | 3.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9236 | 94.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0361 | 1.67* |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
30 days
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