Skip to main content
V-Lab

Woolworths Holdings Ltd/South Africa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

27.48%

decreased by 1.57%

1 Week

27.50%

decreased by 1.55%

1 Month

27.68%

decreased by 1.37%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Woolworths Holdings Ltd/South Africa MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 3, 1997 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 51% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0717
18.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7568
61.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0363
7.55***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0156
2.53**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0102
3.87***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9855
253.93***

Persistence:

0.847

Half-life:

4 days