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V-Lab
V-Lab

Camtek Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, September 13th, 2026

1 Day

60.21%

decreased by 1.66%

1 Week

60.22%

decreased by 1.65%

1 Month

60.04%

decreased by 1.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Camtek Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 18, 2006 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow91
αARCH0.0733
4.18***
βGARCH0.8630
27.03***
γleverage-0.0223
-1.19
λ₁tau intercept0.1055
0.85
λ₂forecast adj.0.0239
1.26
λ₃tau persistence0.9633
29.10***

0.925

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0733
4.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8630
27.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0223
-1.19
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1055
0.85
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0239
1.26
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9633
29.10***

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days