V-Lab
Stroeer Se & Co Kgaa MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
29.46%
1 Week
31.53%
1 Month
33.18%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 12, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 67% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2614 | 10.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4242 | 8.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1046 | -3.66*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.5098 | 0.23 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3723 | 0.21 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2614 | 0.08 |
Persistence:
0.633
Half-life:
2 days
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