V-Lab
Stroeer Se & Co Kgaa GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
78.99%
decreased by 10.34%
1 Week
78.93%
decreased by 10.40%
1 Month
78.69%
decreased by 10.64%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 12, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.09 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 6.1689 | 11.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0902 | 100.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9990 | 9,891.09*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0868 | 6,710.13*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
693 days
Other Stroeer Se & Co Kgaa Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities