Skip to main content
V-Lab

Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

72.64%

decreased by 0.99%

1 Week

74.40%

increased by 0.77%

1 Month

75.19%

increased by 1.56%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 1, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 210% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0719
7.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8028
25.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0487
-4.30***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.6512
0.41
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7793
0.56
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.850

Half-life:

4 days