Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
79.01%
decreased by 1.47%
1 Week
78.73%
decreased by 1.75%
1 Month
77.91%
decreased by 2.57%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 1, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 103% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1536 | 7.32*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1680 | 10.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9510 | 162.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0571 | 3.93*** |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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