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V-Lab

Saudi Industrial Export Co AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

40.84%

decreased by 1.93%

1 Week

41.24%

decreased by 1.53%

1 Month

42.60%

decreased by 0.17%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Saudi Industrial Export Co AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 14, 2005 to Jul 23, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.27) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1921
11.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0953
20.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8846
153.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2723
3.09***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days