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V-Lab

Saudi Industrial Export Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026

1 Day

32.72%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Week

33.72%

increased by 0.31%

1 Month

37.16%

increased by 3.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Saudi Industrial Export Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 14, 2005 to Aug 20, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 51% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0678
11.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8640
79.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0344
6.04***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.2434
0.30
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3209
0.28
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.3623
0.16

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days