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V-Lab

Saudi Industrial Export Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

37.13%

decreased by 2.19%

1 Week

37.49%

decreased by 1.83%

1 Month

38.72%

decreased by 0.60%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Saudi Industrial Export Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 14, 2005 to Jul 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 47% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0740
12.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8497
80.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0348
5.89***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.9202
0.38
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3029
0.37
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4257
0.28

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days