Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
41.82%
decreased by 3.52%
1 Week
43.99%
decreased by 1.35%
1 Month
47.79%
increased by 2.45%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 1993 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 46% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1430 | 31.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5944 | 31.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0656 | 8.14*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.1351 | 0.87 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2704 | 0.83 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5733 | 1.12 |
Persistence:
0.770
Half-life:
3 days
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