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V-Lab

Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

46.36%

increased by 1.92%

1 Week

48.16%

increased by 3.72%

1 Month

49.26%

increased by 4.82%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 46% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1421
31.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5955
31.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0659
8.21***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.1400
0.87
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2731
0.83
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5702
1.10

Persistence:

0.771

Half-life:

3 days