V-Lab
Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
46.36%
increased by 1.92%
1 Week
48.16%
increased by 3.72%
1 Month
49.26%
increased by 4.82%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 46% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1421 | 31.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5955 | 31.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0659 | 8.21*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.1400 | 0.87 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2731 | 0.83 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5702 | 1.10 |
Persistence:
0.771
Half-life:
3 days
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