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V-Lab

Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

41.82%

decreased by 3.52%

1 Week

43.99%

decreased by 1.35%

1 Month

47.79%

increased by 2.45%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1993 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 46% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1430
31.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5944
31.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0656
8.14***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.1351
0.87
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2704
0.83
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5733
1.12

Persistence:

0.770

Half-life:

3 days