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Freehold Royalties Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

19.00%

increased by 0.76%

1 Week

19.51%

increased by 1.27%

1 Month

21.36%

increased by 3.12%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Freehold Royalties Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 143 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~143 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0459
6.92***
αARCH0.1494
9.26***
βGARCH0.8179
76.63***
γleverage0.0558
1.93*

0.995

Persistence

143d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0459
6.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1494
9.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8179
76.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0558
1.93*

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

143 days