Freehold Royalties Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
19.70%
increased by 0.65%
1 Week
20.02%
increased by 0.97%
1 Month
21.25%
increased by 2.20%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 132% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 132% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0203 | 2.72*** |
| αARCH | 0.1319 | 9.36*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9893 | 346.28*** |
| γleverage | -0.0525 | -3.30*** |
0.989
Persistence65d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0203 | 2.72*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1319 | 9.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9893 | 346.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0525 | -3.30*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
65 days
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