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Freehold Royalties Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

19.88%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Week

20.23%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Month

21.34%

increased by 0.88%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Freehold Royalties Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 317% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 317% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow46
αARCH0.0306
3.11***
βGARCH0.8415
40.90***
γleverage0.0970
5.26***
λ₁tau intercept0.0298
2.01**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0574
3.03***
λ₃tau persistence0.9348
43.45***

0.921

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0306
3.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8415
40.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0970
5.26***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0298
2.01**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0574
3.03***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9348
43.45***

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days