V-Lab
Freehold Royalties Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
22.25%
increased by 1.64%
1 Week
22.45%
increased by 1.84%
1 Month
22.92%
increased by 2.31%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 1997 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 329% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0298 | 12.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8425 | 92.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0981 | 21.48*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0300 | 2.94*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0572 | 2.91*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9350 | 41.45*** |
Persistence:
0.921
Half-life:
8 days
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