Freehold Royalties Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
20.69%
decreased by 0.64%
1 Week
21.09%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Month
22.21%
increased by 0.88%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:08 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 1997 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 327% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0299 | 12.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8429 | 92.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0978 | 21.43*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0299 | 2.95*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0570 | 2.91*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9352 | 41.72*** |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
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