V-Lab
Freehold Royalties Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
18.25%
increased by 0.65%
1 Week
18.89%
increased by 1.29%
1 Month
20.61%
increased by 3.01%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 1997 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 333% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0296 | 12.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8426 | 92.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0985 | 21.55*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0298 | 2.93*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0574 | 2.90*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9349 | 41.33*** |
Persistence:
0.921
Half-life:
8 days
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