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Freehold Royalties Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

19.53%

increased by 0.39%

1 Week

19.87%

increased by 0.73%

1 Month

21.10%

increased by 1.96%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Freehold Royalties Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 89 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~89 daysAsymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0228
1.91*
αARCH0.0661
7.99***
βGARCH0.9261
106.90***
γleverage0.4825
3.43***

0.992

Persistence

89d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0228
1.91*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0661
7.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9261
106.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4825
3.43***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

89 days