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Freehold Royalties Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

19.18%

increased by 4.39%

1 Week

19.15%

increased by 4.36%

1 Month

19.07%

increased by 4.28%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Freehold Royalties Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 25 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6284
5.49***
αARCH0.0717
6.73***
βGARCH0.9014
62.73***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.4293
-3.29***
γ20.5791
2.83***
γ3-0.0970
-0.78
γ4-0.1467
-1.38
γ50.0995
0.88
γ60.1013
0.92
γ7-0.2197
-1.77*
γ80.2039
1.76*
γ9-0.2352
-2.63***
γ100.2335
3.49***

0.973

Persistence

25d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6284
5.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0717
6.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9014
62.73***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.4293
-3.29***
γ20.5791
2.83***
γ3-0.0970
-0.78
γ4-0.1467
-1.38
γ50.0995
0.88
γ60.1013
0.92
γ7-0.2197
-1.77*
γ80.2039
1.76*
γ9-0.2352
-2.63***
γ100.2335
3.49***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days