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V-Lab

Freehold Royalties Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

19.52%

decreased by 0.72%

1 Week

19.51%

decreased by 0.73%

1 Month

19.47%

decreased by 0.77%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Freehold Royalties Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 24 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6214
5.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0718
6.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9001
61.50***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.4316
-3.29***
γ20.5788
2.82***
γ3-0.0908
-0.73
γ4-0.1494
-1.39
γ50.0910
0.80
γ60.1204
1.07
γ7-0.2429
-1.94*
γ80.2277
2.02**
γ9-0.2550
-2.93***
γ100.2427
3.67***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days