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Freehold Royalties Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

19.60%

increased by 0.92%

1 Week

19.56%

increased by 0.88%

1 Month

19.41%

increased by 0.73%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Freehold Royalties Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 26% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.23 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 26% more than positive returnsδ = 1.23 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0462
7.18***
αARCH0.1934
16.54***
βGARCH0.8046
70.19***
γleverage0.0929
3.57***
δpower1.2324
7.50***

0.963

Persistence

18d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0462
7.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1934
16.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8046
70.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0929
3.57***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2324
7.50***

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

18 days