V-Lab
Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
90.52%
increased by 4.02%
1 Week
90.22%
increased by 3.72%
1 Month
89.16%
increased by 2.66%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2021 to Sep 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.07 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 28-day half-lifev = 4.07 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 27.8448 | 0.86 |
| αARCH | 0.1200 | 5.39*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9759 | 36.49*** |
| νDF | 4.0665 | 2.28** |
0.976
Persistence28d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 27.8448 | 0.86 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1200 | 5.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9759 | 36.49*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.0665 | 2.28** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
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