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V-Lab

Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

90.52%

increased by 4.02%

1 Week

90.22%

increased by 3.72%

1 Month

89.16%

increased by 2.66%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 6, 2021 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.07 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 28-day half-lifev = 4.07 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst27.8448
0.86
αARCH0.1200
5.39***
βGARCH0.9759
36.49***
νDF4.0665
2.28**

0.976

Persistence

28d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

27.8448
0.86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1200
5.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9759
36.49***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0665
2.28**

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days