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Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

114.52%

increased by 23.99%

1 Week

113.44%

increased by 22.91%

1 Month

109.62%

increased by 19.09%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 05:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 6, 2021 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.04 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 31-day half-lifev = 4.04 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst29.6244
0.85
αARCH0.1215
5.72***
βGARCH0.9777
39.22***
νDF4.0384
2.45**

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

29.6244
0.85
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1215
5.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9777
39.22***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0384
2.45**

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days