V-Lab
Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
138.02%
increased by 14.48%
1 Week
135.48%
increased by 11.94%
1 Month
126.69%
increased by 3.15%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.99 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 26.3974 | 3.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1253 | 19.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9712 | 124.36*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.9905 | 8.67*** |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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