V-Lab
Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
98.15%
decreased by 13.50%
1 Week
97.34%
decreased by 14.31%
1 Month
94.58%
decreased by 17.07%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.04 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 26.6199 | 3.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1253 | 20.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9720 | 127.98*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.0419 | 8.83*** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
24 days
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