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V-Lab

Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate Development Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

41.98%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Week

42.30%

increased by 0.15%

1 Month

43.43%

increased by 1.28%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate Development Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 26, 1998 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 57 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 57 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.52 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.3714
5.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0945
39.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9879
435.58***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.5210
10.92***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

57 days