Hangzhou Radical Energy Saving Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
75.35%
increased by 12.83%
1 Week
72.40%
increased by 9.88%
1 Month
72.97%
increased by 10.45%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 16, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 51% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1475 | 12.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4022 | 14.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0755 | 3.51*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.8559 | 0.56 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6984 | 0.79 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1744 | 0.15 |
Persistence:
0.587
Half-life:
1 days
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