V-Lab
Hangzhou Radical Energy Saving Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
50.15%
decreased by 2.70%
1 Week
53.49%
increased by 0.64%
1 Month
56.64%
increased by 3.79%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 16, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 40% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1808 | 14.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4132 | 13.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0731 | 3.04*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3313 | 1.07 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1107 | 1.46 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8652 | 9.59*** |
Persistence:
0.631
Half-life:
2 days
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