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V-Lab

Hangzhou Radical Energy Saving Technology Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

63.94%

increased by 3.55%

1 Week

62.99%

increased by 2.60%

1 Month

60.52%

increased by 0.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Hangzhou Radical Energy Saving Technology Co Ltd SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8367
3.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0851
3.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8409
17.31***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.3621
-1.07
γ20.8998
1.72*
γ3-1.0687
-2.99***
γ41.0267
3.43***
γ5-1.0636
-2.09**

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days