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V-Lab

Kerry Tj Logistics Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

12.30%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Week

13.39%

increased by 0.90%

1 Month

15.95%

increased by 3.46%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kerry Tj Logistics Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 27, 1993 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 56% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1040
17.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7537
110.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0581
7.70***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3567
2.67***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9051
6.01***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.887

Half-life:

6 days