Kerry Tj Logistics Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
12.30%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Week
13.39%
increased by 0.90%
1 Month
15.95%
increased by 3.46%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 1993 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 56% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1040 | 17.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7537 | 110.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0581 | 7.70*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3567 | 2.67*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9051 | 6.01*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.887
Half-life:
6 days
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