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V-Lab

Kerry Tj Logistics Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

12.27%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Week

13.17%

increased by 0.64%

1 Month

14.82%

increased by 2.29%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kerry Tj Logistics Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 27, 1993 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1339
3.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1444
8.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7402
24.08***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0244
0.41
γ2-0.0375
-0.48
γ3-0.0154
-0.32
γ40.0845
1.98**
γ5-0.1831
-4.01***
γ60.2325
4.78***
γ7-0.1580
-2.76***
γ80.1670
2.13**
γ9-0.2358
-2.54**
γ100.1690
2.11**

Persistence:

0.885

Half-life:

6 days