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V-Lab

Contemporary Amperex Tech Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

36.32%

increased by 1.04%

1 Week

36.02%

increased by 0.74%

1 Month

36.27%

increased by 0.99%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Contemporary Amperex Tech Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 20, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0196
0.26
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9852
356.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0196
-0.38
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6147
0.22
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2328
0.31

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

138 days