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V-Lab

Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

72.18%

increased by 6.73%

1 Week

71.31%

increased by 5.86%

1 Month

68.48%

increased by 3.03%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 2011 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.75 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

13.5689
5.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0894
20.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9639
144.57***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7532
9.76***

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days