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V-Lab

Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

56.33%

decreased by 4.23%

1 Week

56.48%

decreased by 4.08%

1 Month

56.95%

decreased by 3.61%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.77 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

13.5633
5.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0881
20.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9649
147.35***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7674
9.75***

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days