Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
64.08%
increased by 3.93%
1 Week
63.47%
increased by 3.32%
1 Month
61.66%
increased by 1.51%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 31, 2011 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 58% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6175 | 15.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0688 | 12.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8635 | 149.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0399 | 3.17*** |
Persistence:
0.952
Half-life:
14 days
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