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V-Lab

Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

64.08%

increased by 3.93%

1 Week

63.47%

increased by 3.32%

1 Month

61.66%

increased by 1.51%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 2011 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 58% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6175
15.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0688
12.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8635
149.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0399
3.17***

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days