V-Lab
Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
55.52%
decreased by 2.49%
1 Week
55.66%
decreased by 2.35%
1 Month
56.08%
decreased by 1.93%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 31, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 58% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6035 | 15.86*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0675 | 12.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8662 | 152.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0393 | 3.19*** |
Persistence:
0.953
Half-life:
15 days
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