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V-Lab

Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

76.44%

decreased by 0.81%

1 Week

76.73%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Month

77.89%

increased by 0.64%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 2011 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 609 trading days (~2.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1312
9.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1301
16.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8657
147.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0085
0.75
δ

power

Transformation power

2.0622
14.72***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

609 days