Shanghai Kinlita Chemical Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
76.44%
decreased by 0.81%
1 Week
76.73%
decreased by 0.52%
1 Month
77.89%
increased by 0.64%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 31, 2011 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 609 trading days (~2.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1312 | 9.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1301 | 16.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8657 | 147.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0085 | 0.75 |
δ power Transformation power | 2.0622 | 14.72*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
609 days
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