V-Lab
Nitta Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
31.90%
increased by 1.36%
1 Week
32.22%
increased by 1.68%
1 Month
33.33%
increased by 2.79%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 1995 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 155% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1132 | 17.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0539 | 20.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8866 | 279.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0837 | 11.06*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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