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V-Lab

Nitta Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

44.13%

decreased by 2.26%

1 Week

44.00%

decreased by 2.39%

1 Month

43.51%

decreased by 2.88%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nitta Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 153% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 153% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1127
4.36***
αARCH0.0539
5.06***
βGARCH0.8871
70.29***
γleverage0.0826
2.75***

0.982

Persistence

39d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1127
4.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0539
5.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8871
70.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0826
2.75***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days