Nitta Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
28.86%
increased by 0.88%
1 Week
29.32%
increased by 1.34%
1 Month
30.91%
increased by 2.93%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 07:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 1995 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 156% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1131 | 17.39*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0537 | 20.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8866 | 279.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0839 | 11.09*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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