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How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	1.1544	8.51***
αARCH	0.1780	4.60***
βGARCH	0.5690	6.43***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	1.1544	8.51***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1780	4.60***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.5690	6.43***

V-Lab

Ardagh Metal Packaging S A Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Ardagh Metal Packaging S A Analyses